Comments on: Falling off the pedestal

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By: Karri

Karri — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 03:07:28 +0000

Matt, do not let her fool you…

Our girl here will be graduating with highest honors!

By: Karri

Karri — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 03:05:48 +0000

I truly wish I had more patience for those who can’t handle “life”…gimme a break!

Seriously, if a chipped fingernail is the worst thing to happen all day, I think you’re going to make it! UGH!!!

With Love,
Karri Poppins

By: Karri

Karri — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 03:03:16 +0000

“I think that show is responsible for linking up womens cycles!”

So does Eve…as soon as T and I went on hiatus my ovaries retaliated for a month!

By: Matt

Matt — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 01:40:56 +0000

Sure. Just remember that 2.5% of the time I will really suck at tutoring.

By: Trista

Trista — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 01:16:05 +0000

Are you available for tutoring? Statistics is not my forte…

By: Kevin

Kevin — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 01:08:11 +0000

Of course I understand that and agree. Don’t get me wrong it would never be intentional if I seemingly stepped on someone else’s feelings, and it would affect me in a negative way to know that I was the cause of ill will and I would certainly attempt to make amends.

By: Matt

Matt — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 00:48:02 +0000

Since I am a nerd, I trust statistics and my mental model of other people’s behaviour is pseudo-statistical. I assume that time-weighted past performance is the best predictor of future performance. Where I “set the bar” of my expectations for someone depends on my past experience with them: their average performance in the particular behaviour of concern, the variability of their past performance, and the recent trend of performance.

Assuming performance is a normally distributed random variable, 95% of the time the person’s performance will be within the range you have observed from them in the past, 2.5% of the time the person will absolutely wow you with how well they did, and 2.5% of the time they will screw up worse than you could have imagined based on your experiences with them. If they’ve been doing especially well recently, I expect a little more of them and vice versa. If I’m dealing with someone who I have little or no past experience with, I assume their average performance is the same as most people, but I assume a wide range of variability in that performance until I know them well enough to know how reliable they are.

I am rarely disappointed in people because I expect a certain element of chance to affect what they do. Better living through science, I say.

By: Trista

Trista — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 00:16:22 +0000

Is it really their issue if you are somehow hurting someone and being oblivious about it? If you go though life thinking that how people react to you is purely their problem, not yours, you may not end up with very many friends down the road…just sayin’.

Part of self improvement in my world is learning from my mistakes with others, so I want to know when what I do offends others without meaning to.

By: Meghan

Meghan — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 00:01:49 +0000

Karri Poppins…Thats great.

No, not cute at all. I have a friend who, love her to death; but I fear for her in face of any minor upset.

Even at 32 yrs old, with a good life going you have to literally sit her down at eye level like a toddler and convince her it’s not the end of the world.